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Dubs’ Pigskin Picks: Season Wrap Up & Playoff Predictions

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The 2015 NFL regular season is now in the history books. The Rams finished in disappointing fashion, with a 19-16 OT loss to the lowly San Francisco 49ers, ensuring yet another sub-.500 season. Dubs challenged the leader in the weekly picks contest right to the bitter end, finally succumbing in the last week of the season.

Dubs’ Pigskin Pick ’em & Rams Game Preview returned this year for a third season. I predicted the winners (both straight up and against the spread) for all 256 regular season games. In addition, each week I featured 3 games in my “Hot Picks Against The Spread”.

Pickwatch is a site devoted to tracking weekly picks results from NFL experts, analysts, and media types. This year, they tracked 134 experts on a weekly basis. I competed against them again this season, and published the results on a weekly basis. In each of the last two seasons, I managed to tie for first place in the overall standings. Did Dubs make it three years in a row?

Week 17 Results

WeekWins Straight UpWins vs SpreadHot Picks vs. SpreadRams Straight Up
Week 179  78  7  12  10  1
Season Record168  88159  92  535  15  18  8
Win Percentage65.663.370.050.0

 

How did I fare against the experts in Week 17? Week 17 was full of difficult games to choose a winner from. On top of that, there were many upsets. My 9-7 record straight up was enough to finish the year in a tie (with Dave Richard of CBS Sports) for 2nd place in the overall standings, three wins behind the season champion Josh Katzowitz of Forbes. My 8-7-1 record against the spread was an adequate result in a difficult week. My Hot Picks Against The Spread? Carolina and Cincinnati both won and covered the spread. Kansas City won but didn’t cover the 7.5 point spread. Record for the week: 2-1. If you had bet on all 51 of my Hot Picks Against The Spread this season, you would have made a small fortune. The target in wins every year is to have a winning percentage of 70% in picking straight up and 60% when picking against the spread.

2015 NFL Team Records

NFL ATS RANKINGS
Straight-UpAgainst The SpreadOver/Under
Team Total Home Away Total Home Away Total Home Away
Arizona Cardinals 13-3-0 6-2-0 7-1-0 9-7-0 3-5-0 6-2-09-7-04-4-05-3-0
Atlanta Falcons 8-8-0 4-4-0 4-4-0 6-10-0 3-5-0 3-5-02-14-01-7-01-7-0
Baltimore Ravens 5-11-0 3-5-0 2-6-0 5-9-2 1-6-1 4-3-17-9-04-4-03-5-0
Buffalo Bills 8-8-0 5-3-0 3-5-0 8-7-1 5-3-0 3-4-18-8-04-4-04-4-0
Carolina Panthers 15-1-0 8-0-0 7-1-0 11-5-0 6-2-0 5-3-010-5-15-2-15-3-0
Chicago Bears 6-10-0 1-7-0 5-3-0 7-8-1 1-6-1 6-2-08-8-04-4-04-4-0
Cincinnati Bengals 12-4-0 6-2-0 6-2-0 12-3-1 4-3-1 8-0-07-9-03-5-04-4-0
Cleveland Browns 3-13-0 2-6-0 1-7-0 5-10-1 2-5-1 3-5-08-8-05-3-03-5-0
Dallas Cowboys 4-12-0 1-7-0 3-5-0 5-11-0 2-6-0 3-5-06-10-05-3-01-7-0
Denver Broncos 12-4-0 6-2-0 6-2-0 8-6-2 3-5-0 5-1-26-9-12-5-14-4-0
Detroit Lions 7-9-0 4-4-0 3-5-0 7-9-0 3-5-0 4-4-09-7-06-2-03-5-0
Green Bay Packers 10-6-0 5-3-0 5-3-0 9-7-0 4-4-0 5-3-05-11-01-7-04-4-0
Houston Texans 9-7-0 5-3-0 4-4-0 9-7-0 5-3-0 4-4-08-7-13-5-05-2-1
Indianapolis Colts 8-8-0 4-4-0 4-4-0 8-8-0 4-4-0 4-4-08-8-03-5-05-3-0
Jacksonville Jaguars 5-11-0 4-4-0 1-7-0 7-8-1 4-4-0 3-4-110-6-05-3-05-3-0
Kansas City Chiefs 11-5-0 6-2-0 5-3-0 8-8-0 3-5-0 5-3-08-7-13-5-05-2-1
Miami Dolphins 6-10-0 3-5-0 3-5-0 5-11-0 2-6-0 3-5-07-9-03-5-04-4-0
Minnesota Vikings 11-5-0 6-2-0 5-3-0 13-3-0 6-2-0 7-1-04-11-13-5-01-6-1
New England Patriots 12-4-0 7-1-0 5-3-0 7-6-3 4-1-3 3-5-09-7-04-4-05-3-0
New Orleans Saints 7-9-0 4-4-0 3-5-0 8-7-1 4-3-1 4-4-09-7-05-3-04-4-0
New York Giants 6-10-0 3-5-0 3-5-0 8-7-1 4-4-0 4-3-111-5-06-2-05-3-0
New York Jets 10-6-0 6-2-0 4-4-0 8-7-1 5-3-0 3-4-18-8-05-3-03-5-0
Oakland Raiders 7-9-0 3-5-0 4-4-0 8-8-0 2-6-0 6-2-08-6-25-2-13-4-1
Philadelphia Eagles 7-9-0 3-5-0 4-4-0 7-9-0 3-5-0 4-4-08-8-04-4-04-4-0
Pittsburgh Steelers 10-6-0 6-2-0 4-4-0 8-6-2 4-3-1 4-3-16-10-04-4-02-6-0
San Diego Chargers 4-12-0 3-5-0 1-7-0 8-8-0 2-6-0 6-2-06-10-03-5-03-5-0
San Francisco 49ers 5-11-0 4-4-0 1-7-0 7-9-0 5-3-0 2-6-07-9-01-7-06-2-0
Seattle Seahawks 10-6-0 5-3-0 5-3-0 8-7-1 4-4-0 4-3-17-9-04-4-03-5-0
St. Louis Rams 7-9-0 5-3-0 2-6-0 7-8-1 5-3-0 2-5-14-12-03-5-01-7-0
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 6-10-0 3-5-0 3-5-0 7-9-0 3-5-0 4-4-09-7-05-3-04-4-0
Tennessee Titans 3-13-0 1-7-0 2-6-0 4-11-1 2-5-1 2-6-09-6-14-3-15-3-0
Washington Redskins 9-7-0 6-2-0 3-5-0 9-7-0 5-3-0 4-4-09-7-03-5-06-2-0

NFL Crystal Ball

Dubs’ Pigskin Playoff Picks & Predictions

HomeAwayWinnerScore
WildcardWeekend
HoustonKansas CityKansas City17  14
CincinnatiPittsburghCincinnati23  20
MinnesotaSeattleSeattle16  13
WashingtonGreen BayGreen Bay27  24
DivisionalWeekend
DenverKansas CityDenver19  16
New EnglandCincinnatiCincinnati31  24
CarolinaSeattleSeattle23  17
ArizonaGreen BayArizona27  17
ChampionshipWeekend
DenverCincinnatiDenver20  17
ArizonaSeattleSeattle21  20
Super Bowl 50
SeattleDenverDenver24  20

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