Week 11 of the NFL regular season is now in the history books. The Rams are coming off a disappointing 16-13 loss to the Baltimore Ravens. This weekend the Rams travel to Cincinnati to face the high-flying Bengals. The Rams need to win all six of their remaining games to make the postseason. Will the Rams move to 5-6 on the season and inch towards playoff contention? Can Dubs make up some ground on the leaders in the weekly picks contest?
Dubs’ Pigskin Pick ’em & Rams Game Preview returns for a third season. I’ll be predicting the winners (both straight up and against the spread) for all 256 regular season games. In addition, each week I’ll be featuring 3 games in my “Hot Picks Against The Spread”.
Pickwatch is a site devoted to tracking weekly picks results from NFL experts, analysts, and media types. This year, they’re tracking 136 experts on a weekly basis. I’m competing against them again this season, and will publish the weekly results! In each of the last two seasons, I’ve managed to tie for first place in the overall standings. Can Dubs make it three years in a row?
Week 11 Results
|Week||Wins Straight Up||Wins vs Spread||Hot Picks vs. Spread||Rams Straight Up|
|Week 11||8 6||8 5 1||2 0 1||0 1|
|Season Record||102 58||98 58 4||23 9 1||4 6|
How did I fare against the experts in Week 11? With a total of 7 major upsets, it was a brutal week for most of us. My 8-6 straight up picks record was still enough to stay in a 10th place tie in the overall standings, 7 behind the leader Josh Katzowitz of Forbes. My “Hot Picks Against The Spread” shone bright last week. Both Carolina and Cincinnati covered the spread. New England defeated Buffalo and tied the spread. Record for the week: 2-0-1 (23-9-1 overall on the season). Given the number of upsets, my ATS picks record for the week was solid, if unspectacular (8-5-1). My 62.8% winning percentage is among the best in the business.
2015 NFL Team Records
|NFL ATS RANKINGS|
Dubs’ Pigskin Picks – Week 12
|Home||Away||Spread||Straight Up||Vs. Spread||Score|
|Detroit||Philadelphia||Det 2.5||Detroit||Detroit||26 20|
|Dallas||Carolina||Dal 1.5||Carolina||Carolina||24 21|
|Green Bay||Chicago||GB 8.5||Green Bay||Chicago||30 24|
|Cincinnati||St. Louis||Cin 8.5||Cincinnati||Cincinnati||31 17|
|Indianapolis||Tampa Bay||Ind 3||Indianapolis||Indianapolis||24 20|
|Kansas City||Buffalo||KC 7||Kansas City||Buffalo||21 20|
|NY Jets||Miami||NYJ 3||NY Jets||NY Jets||21 17|
|Washington||NY Giants||NYG 2.5||NY Giants||NY Giants||23 17|
|Jacksonville||San Diego||Jac 4||Jacksonville||Jacksonville||20 14|
|Houston||New Orleans||Hou 3||Houston||Houston||23 19|
|San Francisco||Arizona||Ari 11.5||Arizona||Arizona||31 17|
|Seattle||Pittsburgh||Sea 3.5||Seattle||Seattle||24 20|
|Denver||New England||NE 2.5||New England||Denver||20 19|
|Cleveland||Baltimore||Cle 2.5||Cleveland||Cleveland||21 17|
Hot Picks Against The Spread
Carolina over Dallas – There is no way Dallas should be the favorite in this game. The Panthers are perfect on the road against the spread and they shall remain so.
Chicago over Green Bay – The Bears are playing everyone really tough. This game against the Packers should no exception. Green Bay will win but Chicago will cover the very high 8.5 point spread.
Arizona over San Francisco – The Cardinals are riding high and looking to clinch the division early this year. They are a very good team on the road ATS.
St. Louis Rams @ Cincinnati Bengals
- St. Louis lost at Baltimore last Sunday, 16-13. The Rams led 13-3 heading into the fourth quarter, but the Ravens scored all 13 points of the quarter, including a 47-yard field goal by Justin Tucker as time expired, to clinch the win. It was St. Louis’ first loss after leading by 10+ points through three quarters since December 21, 2008 vs. San Francisco (led 13-3, lost 17-16).
- Cincinnati lost its second straight game after starting 8-0, falling 34-31 at Arizona. The Bengals lost despite scoring touchdowns on all four of their red-zone drives, the team’s first loss when going 4-for-4 or better in the red zone since November 30, 1997 at Philadelphia (5-for-5, lost 44-42).
- Making his first start of the season, Case Keenum completed just 12 of 26 passes for 136 yards, one touchdown and no interceptions against the Ravens. The Rams have now completed fewer than 20 passes in each of the first 10 games of the season for the first time since 1984 (fewer than 20 completions in all 16 games).
- Andy Dalton went 22-for-39 for 315 yards, two touchdowns and no interceptions in last week’s loss. It was the fifth time in Dalton’s career and the first time this season that he has thrown for at least 300 yards, multiple touchdowns and no interceptions — the Bengals are now 2-3 in those games.
- Todd Gurley has rushed for a touchdown in each of the last five games, the first Ram to do so in a single season since Cleveland Gary had five straight in the 1990 season. Gurley is the first NFL rookie with a rushing touchdown in five straight games since Maurice Jones-Drew had an eight game streak in the 2006 season.
- Tyler Eifert caught three passes in last week’s loss, and two of the three went for touchdowns. Eifert has 11 touchdown catches through 10 games, the second most in NFL history by a tight end (Julius Thomas, 12 in 2014) and the most by any player in the NFL this season.
CBS Sports’ Pete Prisco, Pat Kirwan and Brady Quinn preview the game between the Rams and the Bengals.
Rams-Bengals Capsule: Associated Press
ST. LOUIS (4-6) at CINCINNATI (8-2)
Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, Fox
OPENING LINE — Bengals by 7
RECORD VS. SPREAD — Rams 4-6, Bengals 8-1-1
SERIES RECORD — Bengals lead 7-5
LAST MEETING — Bengals beat Rams 20-13, Dec. 18, 2011
LAST WEEK — Rams lost to Ravens 16-13, Bengals lost to Cardinals 34-31
AP PRO32 RANKING — Rams No. 22 (tie), Bengals No. 4
RAMS OFFENSE — OVERALL (31), RUSH (7), PASS (32).
RAMS DEFENSE — OVERALL (12), RUSH (16), PASS (9).
BENGALS OFFENSE — OVERALL (7), RUSH (12), PASS (9).
BENGALS DEFENSE — OVERALL (16), RUSH (13), PASS (15).
STREAKS, STATS AND NOTES — Rams making only second visit to Paul Brown Stadium, where they lost 19-10 in 2007. … Rams have dropped last three games. Fumble set up Justin Tucker’s last-second field goal in Baltimore last week. … Game matches two of NFL’s top defensive tackles. Rams’ Aaron Donald and Bengals’ Geno Atkins have seven sacks each, tied for league lead by interior linemen. … Rams rookie RB Todd Gurley has rushed for 766 yards and six TDs in past seven games. He’s scored TD in each of last five games. He leads NFL with four runs of at least 45 yards. … Rams are second in NFC with 30 sacks, led by Donald (7) and DE Robert Quinn (5). … Bengals have dropped last two games that came down to closing minutes. Cincinnati hasn’t dropped three straight games since 2012. … Bengals QB Andy Dalton needs 262 yards passing to join Peyton Manning as only players in NFL history to throw for 3,000 yards in each of first five seasons. … RB Jeremy Hill needs two TDs to become first player in Bengals history with at least 10 TDs in each of first two seasons. … TE Tyler Eifert leads NFL with 11 TD catches, most ever by Bengals tight end. … Fantasy Tip: Giovani Bernard set club record with 128 yards on eight catches in Arizona, most yards receiving by Cincinnati running back. He also rushed for 18 yards and leads team in yards from scrimmage (891).